Chance v. Design Part 4 (Evolution)

by dhw, Sunday, July 05, 2009, 22:23 (5618 days ago) @ xeno6696

Matt writes: You and Dr Turell appear to say that since life has been assigned such a low probability (under specious assumptions) then there exists a converse selection against it happening. If life has a .00000000000150 chance of occurring randomly, it is not the case that there is a .99999999999850 chance of it not happening by chance. This simply recreates the Monte Carlo Fallacy. Every event has an equal chance of being selected. - So whenever my pet chimpanzee sits at the typewriter, I should be prepared to believe that he has an equal chance of hitting the right keys to produce a Shakespeare sonnet.

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Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-05-02, 11:38
- Chance v. Design - George Jelliss, 2009-05-02, 19:05
  - Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-05-03, 21:02
    - Chance v. Design - George Jelliss, 2009-05-03, 22:24
      - Chance v. Design - David Turell, 2009-05-04, 00:46
      - Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-05-05, 08:29
        Chance v. Design - George Jelliss, 2009-05-05, 19:58
        Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-05-07, 08:59
        Chance v. Design - BBella, 2009-05-08, 21:03
        Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-05-10, 13:15
        Chance v. Design - BBella, 2009-05-12, 04:51
        
        Chance v. Design - David Turell, 2009-05-11, 22:21
        
        Chance v. Design - George Jelliss, 2009-05-10, 19:19
        Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-05-12, 12:50
- Chance v. Design - Matt S., 2009-06-02, 22:16
  - Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-06-03, 12:40
    - Chance v. Design - Matt S., 2009-06-04, 03:28
      - Chance v. Design - David Turell, 2009-06-04, 19:23
        Chance v. Design - David Turell, 2009-06-05, 14:20
        Chance v. Design - David Turell, 2009-06-05, 16:38
      - Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-06-04, 21:50
        Chance v. Design - Matt S., 2009-06-04, 22:24
        Chance v. Design - dhw, 2009-06-06, 11:41
        Chance v. Design - Matt S., 2009-06-06, 19:36
        
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - Matt S., 2009-06-06, 19:47
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - dhw, 2009-06-07, 23:07
        Chance v. Design Part 3 - xeno6696, 2009-06-09, 14:44
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-06-09, 14:45
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-06-10, 08:54
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-06-11, 18:47
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-06-26, 20:29
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-06-27, 18:45
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-06-29, 08:16
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-06-30, 04:39
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-07-01, 08:20
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-01, 14:54
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-07-03, 10:22
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-03, 19:26
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - George Jelliss, 2009-07-04, 17:13
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - David Turell, 2009-07-04, 18:25
        
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-04, 19:35
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-05, 00:18
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - David Turell, 2009-07-05, 03:09
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - David Turell, 2009-07-07, 01:39
        
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-08, 17:42
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - David Turell, 2009-07-09, 22:08
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-09, 23:26
        
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-07-05, 22:23
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-08, 15:04
        
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-08, 20:43
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-07-10, 12:24
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-11, 04:16
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-07-12, 08:44
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2009-07-12, 18:37
        
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-06-10, 09:00
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - George Jelliss, 2009-06-11, 10:51
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - dhw, 2009-06-26, 20:37
        
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - Balance_Maintained, 2012-08-18, 04:41
        Chance v. Design Part 4 - xeno6696, 2012-08-18, 14:36
        
        Chance v. Design Part 3 - David Turell, 2009-06-10, 02:12
        Chance v. Design Part 3 - David Turell, 2012-08-06, 15:32
        
        Chance v. Design Part 3 - Balance_Maintained, 2012-08-18, 04:38
        Chance v. Design Part 3 - xeno6696, 2012-08-18, 14:33
        
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - Balance_Maintained, 2012-08-18, 04:01
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - xeno6696, 2012-08-18, 14:26
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - Balance_Maintained, 2012-08-19, 04:28
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - xeno6696, 2012-08-20, 01:08
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - Balance_Maintained, 2012-08-20, 04:46
        
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - dhw, 2012-08-20, 20:26
        
        Chance v. Design Part 2 - dhw, 2012-08-19, 17:13

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Chance v. Design Part 4 (Evolution)