Probabilities (General)

by romansh , Saturday, April 19, 2014, 00:49 (3870 days ago) @ David Turell

No, we were taught there were false positives and false negatives, but as I've tried to point out, there are alternate ways to come to a diagnosis that cover each other and this problem. You are quite correct that probability is not well understood. Many improbable events happen every day in my life, and I know that. I see them. But if specificity is involved in the event, then the improbabilities disappear.-I never said or meant to suggest doctors are not taught about about false positive and negative results. I fully expect them to be taught about such phenomena. I would also expect them to be taught these things and the how to interpret such data. -It would appear, if the interpretation of false positive and negatives the learnings have not stuck. Of course (I hope) doctors don't rely on a single test for a diagnosis.