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<title>AgnosticWeb.com - The Paranormal; group estimates</title>
<link>https://agnosticweb.com/</link>
<description>An Agnostic&#039;s Brief Guide to the Universe</description>
<language>en</language>
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<title>The Paranormal; group estimates (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another study on group estimates; surprisingly accurate:-http://www.physorg.com/news/2011-09-true-wisdom-crowd-successful-individuals.html</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=7270</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=7270</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 16 Sep 2011 03:43:56 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In his post of 11 February at 22.11, George explained to me what he meant by energy, distinguishing it from the imaginary energy or &amp;quot;chi&amp;quot; referred to by new ageists. BBella pointed out that chi was not confined to new ageism but went back to ancient China and represented wind or breath, which is not imaginary but measurable. She made no mention of any beliefs of any kind, and made it clear that she was only offering this as a piece of information - There appear to be many different definitions of chi (which Scrabble players may like to note can also be spelt &amp;apos;qi&amp;apos;), and George has quoted a website that suggests its existence is not provable (unlike wind and breath). This was a perfectly reasonable exchange of definitions. - John Clinch in his response of 25 February at 12.56, which is both rude and presumptuous, twice says &amp;quot;you seem to be saying&amp;quot; and calls BBella&amp;apos;s post &amp;quot;fairly incoherent&amp;quot;. He then creates easy targets for himself to ridicule. I found BBella&amp;apos;s post perfectly coherent, and would suggest, John, that you found it incoherent because its meaning did not conform to what you wanted it to mean.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1268</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1268</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2009 09:10:50 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh, you can go further, surely. - BB seems to be saying, though her post is fairly incoherent: chi is real because (a) the concept is ancient  and (b) because it represents something - wind - that can be measured. - On that basis, something is more likely to be true because people believed in it long ago.  Anyone had their four humours tested recently?   - And, BB, you are equating the representation of something with the thing itself.  You seem to be saying chi is real because wind is.  It&amp;apos;s a total non-sequitur.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1261</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1261</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 12:56:13 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>John Clinch</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>2) You say it is psychiatry not psychology that deals with case histories. Thank you. I wanted to use the term &amp;quot;case histories&amp;quot; in place of your prejudicial &amp;quot;anecdotes&amp;quot; as a basis for study. I still think this is a valid answer to your question about how to proceed. - In this country both psychiatrists and psychologists have private practices and treat cases and can do case histories and case studies and publish in respected journals. The only difference is the former went to medical school. Both have the same understanding of patient&amp;apos;s mental problems. -  - &gt; 5) Matter is a special form of energy (by which you mean the measurable energy defined by physicists, and not the imaginary &amp;quot;chi&amp;quot;). In view of your reply to BBella, perhaps I could repeat a quote from Wikipedia: <em>&amp;quot;It has been noted that the names &amp;apos;dark matter&amp;apos; and &amp;apos;dark energy&amp;apos; serve mainly as an expression of human ignorance, much like the marking of early maps with &amp;apos;terra incognita&amp;apos;.&amp;quot; </em> - Physical sciences can measure any form of matter or energy ( except dark energy and dark matter at this point considering their theoretical existence) but psychological studies involve the input of the subjects which can be shaded by the underlying psychology of each individual. It is almost like quantum theory: one gets averages of the people (particles).</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1202</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1202</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 13:40:07 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some quick responses to George&amp;apos;s quick responses to my responses. - 1) You still maintain that there are &amp;quot;only a very few&amp;quot; cases involving genuinely unknowable information. I admire your diligence in reading all the books and interviewing all those who make such claims.  - 2) You say it is psychiatry not psychology that deals with case histories. Thank you. I wanted to use the term &amp;quot;case histories&amp;quot; in place of your prejudicial &amp;quot;anecdotes&amp;quot; as a basis for study. I still think this is a valid answer to your question about how to proceed. - 3)  The nature of love, the impact of music, the origin of ideas. See the new thread. - 4) You say that subjects such as the existence of God, the paranormal, ethics, aesthetics, religion, evolution etc. all depend on a knowledge of chemistry because life and the functioning of brains depends on chemistry. I had pointed out that there was no scientific paradigm for any of these subjects. The fact that chemistry is a factor (&amp;quot;<em>depend on a knowledge of</em>...&amp;quot; seems to me to be going a bit too far) does not mean that there is a scientific paradigm.  - 5) Matter is a special form of energy (by which you mean the measurable energy defined by physicists, and not the imaginary &amp;quot;chi&amp;quot;). In view of your reply to BBella, perhaps I could repeat a quote from Wikipedia: <em>&amp;quot;It has been noted that the names &amp;apos;dark matter&amp;apos; and &amp;apos;dark energy&amp;apos; serve mainly as an expression of human ignorance, much like the marking of early maps with &amp;apos;terra incognita&amp;apos;.&amp;quot; </em></p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1200</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1200</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 11:01:20 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BBella wrote: <em>But far from being imaginary, ch&amp;apos;i represents wind or breath, which can be measured by physicists.</em> - I looked up some sites on chi energy. This one agrees with you about breath: - <a href="http://www.siamese-dream.com/page/siam1/CTGY/article-breathing-chi">http://www.siamese-dream.com/page/siam1/CTGY/article-breathing-chi</a> - But it says:&amp;#13;&amp;#10;<em>It is difficult to define Chi concretely. It cannot be seen or measured, it cannot be touched or captured. It is everywhere, yet we have no way to touch it, make it tangible, or even prove its existence. Therefore Chi is a difficult concept to accept.</em>  - These qualities, which are remarkably similar to those of phlogiston, show not that it is a difficult concept, but that it does not exist.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1193</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1193</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 15:11:22 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>GPJ: Matter is a special form of energy. E = m.c^2. Energy is the more basic concept. Of course I am referring here to the measurable energy defined by physicists, not the imaginary &amp;quot;energy&amp;quot; or &amp;quot;chi&amp;quot; referred to by new ageists. - Ch&amp;apos;i has been around for much longer than new age thinking.  It is one of the older units of measurements of energy recorded in Chinese writing.  New ageists are not the only ones to use the term ch&amp;apos;i, just as Christians are not the only ones to use the term spirit, or physicists the only ones to use the term energy.  But far from being imaginary, ch&amp;apos;i represents wind or breath, which can be measured by physicists.  I&amp;apos;m sure you know this but just thought I would mention it.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1191</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1191</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 00:20:46 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>BBella</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some quick responses to DHW&amp;apos;s replies. - DHW: I am interested above all in cases in which unknowable information has been imparted ... /// (there are many such cases, and not just &amp;quot;a few&amp;quot; as you claim). - GPJ: I still maintain that there are only a very few that apparently involve genuinely unknowable information. These require further investigation. Most others are easily explained in known terms.&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;DHW: Most of the findings of psychologists are based on case histories. - GPJ: I think you mean psychiatry. Modern psychology is far more systematic. - DHW: ... if you can point me in a direction where I might find what you consider to be a reliable scientific explanation of the nature of love, the impact of music or the origin of ideas, I will be most grateful. - GPJ: See the separate thread I have opened on this subject. - DHW: We have not been discussing the atomic theory of chemical structure. We have been discussing the existence of God, the paranormal, ethics, aesthetics, religion, evolution etc.  - GPJ: All these subjects depend on a knowledge of chemistry because life and the functioning of brains depends on chemistry. - DHW: However, if you believe that human realities are sourced by energy independently of matter...well, that would really take us onto another level. - GPJ: Matter is a special form of energy. E = m.c^2. Energy is the more basic concept. Of course I am referring here to the measurable energy defined by physicists, not the imaginary &amp;quot;energy&amp;quot; or &amp;quot;chi&amp;quot; referred to by new ageists.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1190</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1190</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 22:11:12 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>George has kindly written a point by point reply to my post of 10 February.  - I appreciate the trouble you have gone to in elucidating your position, and will try to respond with equal thoroughness. First, let me clear up an important misunderstanding. - You have explained why you do not believe in the paranormal (&amp;quot;<em>the poor anecdotal evidence presented so far is quite inadequate&amp;quot;</em>). I am not asking you to believe in the paranormal. I do not believe in it myself. Nor do I have what you call a &amp;quot;<em>wish for there to be a paranormal reality</em>&amp;quot;. I am interested above all in cases in which unknowable information has been imparted ... e.g. those reported by David Turell, Pim van Lommel, BBella and my wife, whom I do not regard as fools, self-deceivers or frauds. Until someone comes up with a convincing explanation for the communication of this unknowable information (there are many such cases, and not just &amp;quot;a few&amp;quot; as you claim), I will remain mystified and therefore open-minded. My argument is not for belief, it is against disbelief. You might call it a form of agnosticism. - 1) GPJ: What methods do you propose whereby these immaterialist phenomena can be studied?&amp;#13;&amp;#10;DHW: You have included psychology in your list of sciences. Most of the findings of psychologists are based on case histories, and once you dispense with the loaded term &amp;quot;anecdote&amp;quot;, you open up a different perspective. The method has to be continual reporting, monitoring, reading about case histories. David&amp;apos;s response to your post suggests that there are many of these with factors in common, and with reliable witnesses offering corroboration. The 25-hospital study of NDEs and OBEs sounds like a promising approach. - 2) GPJ: Science already has reliable answers about such subjects as love, musical appreciation, and creative thought. The sciences that study these subjects, such as physiology and neurology and psychology [...] are able to provide answers, even if only provisional.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;DHW: Reliable answers that are only provisional don&amp;apos;t sound too reliable to me. However, if you can point me in a direction where I might find what you consider to be a reliable scientific explanation of the nature of love, the impact of music or the origin of ideas, I will be most grateful. - 3) GPJ: A scientific paradigm very certainly does exist. Do you deny, say, the atomic theory of chemical structure?&amp;#13;&amp;#10;DHW: You quoted my statement, but then ignored it. I wrote: &amp;quot;<em>In most of the contexts discussed and disputed on this website, what you call &amp;apos;the existing paradigm&amp;apos; in fact does not have a paradigmatic existence outside your convictions.&amp;quot;</em> We have not been discussing the atomic theory of chemical structure. We have been discussing the existence of God, the paranormal, ethics, aesthetics, religion, evolution etc.  You claim that in these contexts your beliefs are based on scientific evidence. David makes the same claim, and yet your beliefs are different. What is the scientific paradigm? - 4) GPJ: Your use of the term &amp;quot;materialistic&amp;quot; also indicates [...] an outdated attitude. Would you accuse me of being &amp;quot;energistic&amp;quot; if I tried to explain the universe, as I do, in terms of energy? &amp;#13;&amp;#10;DHW: Materialism (adjective: materialistic) = the theory that physical matter is the only reality, and the mind, emotions etc. are merely functions of it. I was certainly not &amp;quot;accusing&amp;quot; you of anything, and I apologize if you found the term offensive. I thought this was the theory that you adhered to, and I do not regard that as something shameful! However, if you believe that human realities are sourced by energy independently of matter...well, that would really take us onto another level.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1188</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1188</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 13:57:07 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>GPJ: NDEs and OBEs are experiences that happen and have natural explanations adequately explained by existing science. It is only where they are associated with a few paranormal claims that they are questionable. For instance the patient who claimed to see a shoe on the outside ledge of the hospital building while having an &amp;quot;Out of Body experience&amp;quot; (as reported in chapter 6 of David Turell&amp;apos;s book). A proper scientific examination of this case would establish where the shoe came from, how and when it got there, whose it was, whether the patient was ever in a position to have seen it before, or knew the owner of the shoe, whether she was aware of the investigator&amp;apos;s interest in paranormal occurrences and therefore likely to make up a story to please him, and so on. - George: It is impossible to do a double-blind study (or its equivalent) in this area of scientific interest. The story is reported by Kimberly Clark Sharp (now married), a hospital social worker at the time the event happened. Dr. Bruce Greyson, a psychiatrist, knows Sharp and trusts her tale about Maria, the patient, who came to the hospital with a heart attack. Maria could know nothing about the hospital with her personal background. Most of what you object to cannot be corroborated, and obviously you should know that. This excerpt is from Greyson&amp;apos;s review of Sharp&amp;apos;s book: &amp;quot;After the Light&amp;quot;.  - &gt; Significantly, Sharp starts her book not with her own NDE, but with that of Maria and her now-famous tennis shoe on the ledge. Maria was a migrant worker admitted to Harborview Medical Center&amp;apos;s cardiac care unit (CCU), where Sharp was working as a social worker. While her body was undergoing a cardiac arrest, Maria floated out of the hospital and saw, on a third-story window ledge on the side of the hospital farthest from the CCU, &amp;quot;a man&amp;apos;s dark blue tennis shoe, well-worn, scuffed on the left side where the little toe would go. The shoelace was caught under the heel&amp;quot; (p. 11). Despite Sharp&amp;apos;s having had an NDE herself, her professional training led her to doubt Maria&amp;apos;s story until she finally located the shoe by going from room to room, pressing her face against the windows--although the scuffed toe could only be seen from a perspective outside and above the window. Sharp first published this account in my 1984 NDE anthology (Clark, 1984), and it has been repeated several times, most recently by Susan Blackmore (1995); but the detailed account here is the definitive &amp;quot;Maria&amp;apos;s tennis shoe&amp;quot; story.  - Many of these &amp;apos;stories&amp;apos; are anecdotal. Van Lommel&amp;apos;s patient was part of a prospective study. The Lancet article is very impressive, especially the significantly different rate of mortality in those patients with the &amp;apos;deepest&amp;apos; NDE. - I agree this is a &amp;apos;where&amp;apos;s there is smoke there must be a fire&amp;apos; approach to science. Do these &amp;apos;stories&amp;apos; exist becasue people  want them to exist? Of course. Death frightens people. But when doctors at the bedside in hospices learn from patients events the patients could not have known about, that is corroboration of &amp;apos;something&amp;apos;. I&amp;apos;d love to be able to order a definitve EEG after an NDE and &amp;apos;scientifically&amp;apos; prove the point. In human psychology one cannot. Most psychological papers are inferences, with no scientific machine or lab support. As I noted in my book, why do so many people have the same NDE&amp;apos;s in pattern? Why do they always communicate with the dead? And why should we ignore third-party corroboration because it is anecdotal and not part of a planned study, which actually now has been started because of all the anecdotes?</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1186</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1186</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 10 Feb 2009 14:45:23 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is Part 2 of my reply to DHW. - DHW: ... which brings us to the second point in your post of 8 February.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;<em>&amp;quot;New discoveries must be viewed through the prism of past views. This is because scientific knowledge is cumulative etc.&amp;quot;</em> You are absolutely right: we have to build on what has already been discovered.  - GPJ: I&amp;apos;m glad we agree on something! - DHW: But in my amendment to David Turell&amp;apos;s &amp;quot;aphorism&amp;quot;, I went out of my way to remove precisely the meaning you have attributed to it by adding the crucial defining relative, which you quoted but then omitted: <em>&amp;quot;(past views) that find excuses to ignore whatever is disturbing to them</em>&amp;quot;. Neither David nor I was talking about past views en bloc.  - GPJ: No good scientist ignores facts that don&amp;apos;t fit into the scheme. I thought I had made that point. It is all part of the scientific method. Darwin incidentally was exemplary in this regard: he had a whole chapter in the &amp;quot;Origins&amp;quot; about the problems with his theory at the time (such as the lack of an adequate understanding of genetics). - DHW: My own point here is that anyone who is convinced that his beliefs are right and others are wrong, whether theist or atheist, has already ignored whatever is disturbing to those beliefs. That is the nature of conviction. &amp;quot;Convinced&amp;quot; is your own word, and it is the nub of the whole argument.  - GPJ: I have ignored nothing. If I am convinced, it is by the weight of evidence. My beliefs are based on evidence. If you can come up with adequate evidence to support your wish for there to be a paranormal reality out there, I will readily go along with you. However the poor anecdotal evidence presented so far is quite inadequate. - DHW: In most of the contexts discussed and disputed on this website, what you call &amp;quot;the existing paradigm&amp;quot; in fact does not have a paradigmatic existence outside your convictions (though of course these are shared by many others, as is the theist paradigm).  - GPJ: A scientific paradigm very certainly does exist. Do you deny, say, the atomic theory of chemical structure?  - DHW: You ask for the alternatives to what you call the scientific method. In my view, it is not a matter of alternatives. Science is central to the quest, but we should not ignore all those areas of human experience that have not yet been explained, and possibly may never be explained, in materialistic terms. - GPJ: I have already responded to this point above. I am not ignoring any areas of human experience. Your use of the term &amp;quot;materialistic&amp;quot; also indicates, I am inclined to think, an outdated attitude. Would you accuse me of being &amp;quot;energistic&amp;quot; if I tried to explain the universe, as I do, in terms of energy rather than matter?</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1185</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1185</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 10 Feb 2009 11:21:29 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is a reply to DHW point by point. I&amp;apos;ve had to split in tnto two parts, since it exceeds the limit of 5000 words. - DHW: &amp;quot;Science, in the sense of scientific method&amp;quot; leaves a lot of leeway. Some might say that qualified medical practitioners such as David Turell and Pim van Lommel have applied scientific methods to their study of NDEs and OBEs, but you have already rejected such claims. Your interpretation of science and scientific method is no more (and no less) valid than theirs.  - GPJ: I have rejected such claims because they are not based on scientific method. They are based on anecdote. What constitutes scientific method is widely agreed, it is not just a personal opinion of my own. - DHW: Perhaps, though, if you could forget God for now (&amp;quot;divine revelation&amp;quot;), we might look at this from another angle. What constitutes reality? Are you sure that science is capable of covering all realities?  - GPJ: If you are claiming that there are phenomena that are not susceptible to study by scientific method, and thus constitute another kind of reality, what methods do you propose whereby these immaterialist phenomena can be studied? - DHW: I don&amp;apos;t see, for instance, how science can give us &amp;quot;reliable answers&amp;quot; about the nature of love, the impact of music, the origin of ideas, and yet I don&amp;apos;t think you would deny the reality of love, musical appreciation, or original ideas. You may be &amp;quot;convinced&amp;quot; that one day science will come up with a material explanation, and you may be right, but your conviction has no scientific foundation. It&amp;apos;s a belief.  - GPJ: Science already has reliable answers about such subjects as love, musical appreciation, and creative thought. The sciences that study these subjects, such as physiology and neurology and psychology are not as well developed as older subjects like chemistry and physics, but are able to provide answers, even if only provisional. - DHW: I would put NDEs and OBEs and various other apparently &amp;quot;paranormal&amp;quot; experiences in a similar category. I don&amp;apos;t understand them, but I can&amp;apos;t be sure they are not real, and so I must face the possibility that there may be levels of existence, communication, experience which cannot be accounted for in terms of the material world as we know it. The problem with materialism is that it refuses to countenance that possibility,  - GPJ: NDEs and OBEs are experiences that happen and have natural explanations adequately explained by existing science. It is only where they are associated with a few paranormal claims that they are questionable. For instance the patient who claimed to see a shoe on the outside ledge of the hospital building while having an &amp;quot;Out of Body experience&amp;quot; (as reported in chapter 6 of David Turell&amp;apos;s book). A proper scientific examination of this case would establish where the shoe came from, how and when it got there, whose it was, whether the patient was ever in a position to have seen it before, or knew the owner of the shoe, whether she was aware of the investigator&amp;apos;s interest in paranormal occurrences and therefore likely to make up a story to please him, and so on.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1184</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1184</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 10 Feb 2009 11:17:58 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>George prefers <em>&amp;quot;to be tied to science, in the sense of scientific method, because I&amp;apos;m convinced that that is the only way we have of finding out reliable answers. What are the alternatives? Divine revelation?&amp;quot;</em> - &amp;quot;Science, in the sense of scientific method&amp;quot; leaves a lot of leeway. Some might say that qualified medical practitioners such as David Turell and Pim van Lommel have applied scientific methods to their study of NDEs and OBEs, but you have already rejected such claims. Your interpretation of science and scientific method is no more (and no less) valid than theirs. Perhaps, though, if you could forget God for now (&amp;quot;divine revelation&amp;quot;), we might look at this from another angle. What constitutes reality? Are you sure that science is capable of covering all realities? I don&amp;apos;t see, for instance, how science can give us &amp;quot;reliable answers&amp;quot; about the nature of love, the impact of music, the origin of ideas, and yet I don&amp;apos;t think you would deny the reality of love, musical appreciation, or original ideas. You may be &amp;quot;convinced&amp;quot; that one day science will come up with a material explanation, and you may be right, but your conviction has no scientific foundation. It&amp;apos;s a belief. I would put NDEs and OBEs and various other apparently &amp;quot;paranormal&amp;quot; experiences in a similar category. I don&amp;apos;t understand them, but I can&amp;apos;t be sure they are not real, and so I must face the possibility that there may be levels of existence, communication, experience which cannot be accounted for in terms of the material world as we know it. The problem with materialism is that it refuses to countenance that possibility, which brings us to the second point in your post of 8 February. - <em>&amp;quot;New discoveries must be viewed through the prism of past views. This is because scientific knowledge is cumulative etc.&amp;quot;</em> You are absolutely right: we have to build on what has already been discovered. But in my amendment to David Turell&amp;apos;s &amp;quot;aphorism&amp;quot;, I went out of my way to remove precisely the meaning you have attributed to it by adding the crucial defining relative, which you quoted but then omitted: <em>&amp;quot;(past views) that find excuses to ignore whatever is disturbing to them</em>&amp;quot;. Neither David nor I was talking about past views en bloc. My own point here is that anyone who is convinced that his beliefs are right and others are wrong, whether theist or atheist, has already ignored whatever is disturbing to those beliefs. That is the nature of conviction. &amp;quot;Convinced&amp;quot; is your own word, and it is the nub of the whole argument. In most of the contexts discussed and disputed on this website, what you call &amp;quot;the existing paradigm&amp;quot; in fact does not have a paradigmatic existence outside your convictions (though of course these are shared by many others, as is the theist paradigm). You ask for the alternatives to what you call the scientific method. In my view, it is not a matter of alternatives. Science is central to the quest, but we should not ignore all those areas of human experience that have not yet been explained, and possibly may never be explained, in materialistic terms.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1182</link>
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<pubDate>Tue, 10 Feb 2009 09:14:45 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I offer two counter-proposals to this approach. I do prefer to be tied to science, in the sense of scientific method, because I&amp;apos;m convinced that that is the only way we have of finding out reliable answers. What are the alternatives? Divine revelation?&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Likewise I propose that: New discoveries must be viewed through the prism of past views. This is because scientific knowledge is cumulative. We can&amp;apos;t go back to first principles all the time. It is important to fit new discoveries within the existing framework. This, for instance, is what has happened with plate tectonics, which is now able to explain continental drift in terms of Newtonian mechanics. - Since I started this whole issue of &amp;apos;preconceived prism&amp;apos; let me reply and clarify. The other portion of my statement was quite clear (to me) that I was referring to a rigid prism, not allowing change. I am in absolute agreement with your two above statements. Am I controversal? Absolutely, when I see a majority opinion that to me is obviously wrong, being swallowed and fawned over. I still follow Thomas Kuhn, because I saw his point of view in front of my nose in medical practice.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1180</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1180</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 09 Feb 2009 01:52:53 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DHW wrote: If I may link this thread to the one on The Attenborough Mystery, the statements made by Attenborough (as quoted by George) and by David in his response to George, for me sum up the essence of agnosticism. I will repeat David&amp;apos;s aphorism, as I would like to expand on it very slightly: <em>&amp;quot;No new science must be viewed by a preconceived prism of past views, finding excuses to ignore a discovery that is disturbing to them.&amp;quot;  </em>I would prefer not to be tied to science, because I&amp;apos;m not convinced that science holds all the answers. May I suggest some small amendments? <em>&amp;quot;New discoveries must not be viewed through a preconceived prism of past views that find excuses to ignore whatever is disturbing to them.&amp;quot; </em>It&amp;apos;s a principle with which I&amp;apos;m sure many people will agree, but which very few will follow. - &amp;#13;&amp;#10;I offer two counter-proposals to this approach. I do prefer to be tied to science, in the sense of scientific method, because I&amp;apos;m convinced that that is the only way we have of finding out reliable answers. What are the alternatives? Divine revelation? - Likewise I propose that: New discoveries must be viewed through the prism of past views. This is because scientific knowledge is cumulative. We can&amp;apos;t go back to first principles all the time. It is important to fit new discoveries within the existing framework. This, for instance, is what has happened with plate tectonics, which is now able to explain continental drift in terms of Newtonian mechanics. - Of course, a good scientist does not ignore facts that don&amp;apos;t fit into the established theories. He seeks an explanation of them, preferably within the existing paradigm. It is only after much contrary evidence has come to light that the paradigm can be replaced by an improved version.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1178</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1178</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 08 Feb 2009 20:05:02 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>David has drawn our attention to Michael Brooks&amp;apos; article in New Scientist: &amp;quot;<em>Born believers: how your brain creates God</em>&amp;quot;. David links it to John Clinch&amp;apos;s comment that &amp;quot;<em>man has evolved to be (for good adaptive reasons) a pattern-seeking creature.</em>&amp;quot; - The two arguments seem to revolve around Gestalt psychology, which originated as an analysis of how we form patterns in perception, but was then applied to most other human activities, including science and philosophy. (I first came across it in relation to literary theory and the reading process.) The mechanism of linking perceptions together is not confined to human beings ... animals can&amp;apos;t survive without it either ... but because of our capacity for abstract thinking, we have evolved a vast range of such patterns.  - However, John&amp;apos;s point was made in the context of believing or not believing in the paranormal, and this seems to me to illustrate the two edges of his weapon. He thinks that those who believe in the paranormal have constructed a pattern that incorporates what they want it to incorporate ... namely, an unknown level of existence or communication. The converse, though, is equally true: his pattern is that of materialism, and so he excludes whatever appears to run counter to it. Every experience is dismissed as either never having happened, or as having a simple, material explanation. All religions, beliefs, disbeliefs and modes of behaviour entail a Gestalt, because that is the only way we can deal with reality. I think Michael Brooks&amp;apos; argument about some kind of inborn belief is right, but only in so far as every human, just like every animal, has an inborn need to understand (i.e. create a consistent pattern relating to) his environment. In the case of humans this expands from ourselves, our family, our home and our general surroundings, to our past, our future, our country, the Earth, and ultimately the cosmos. There has to be a pattern to explain it all, and since establishing links is integral to our survival, it is integral to a child&amp;apos;s nature. The form of the pattern, though, will be largely determined by the environment.  - Brooks is careful to emphasize that his observation tells us nothing about whether there is such a thing as a God. I think many of the people who have commented on his article have missed a crucial point:   <em>&amp;quot;All the researchers involved stress that none of this says anything about the existence or otherwise of gods; as Barratt points out, whether or not a belief is true is independent of why people believe it.&amp;quot;</em> - If I may link this thread to the one on The Attenborough Mystery, the statements made by Attenborough (as quoted by George) and by David in his response to George, for me sum up the essence of agnosticism. I will repeat David&amp;apos;s aphorism, as I would like to expand on it very slightly: <em>&amp;quot;No new science must be viewed by a preconceived prism of past views, finding excuses to ignore a discovery that is disturbing to them.&amp;quot;  </em>I would prefer not to be tied to science, because I&amp;apos;m not convinced that science holds all the answers. May I suggest some small amendments? <em>&amp;quot;New discoveries must not be viewed through a preconceived prism of past views that find excuses to ignore whatever is disturbing to them.&amp;quot; </em>It&amp;apos;s a principle with which I&amp;apos;m sure many people will agree, but which very few will follow.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1171</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1171</guid>
<pubDate>Sat, 07 Feb 2009 09:40:18 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I so agree.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; There&amp;apos;s nowt to explain.  All these &amp;quot;inexplicable&amp;quot; coincidences and apparent presentiments are more than adequately understood if one has regard to the very human qualities of wishful thinking, and confirmation and selection biases - the sort of standard pattern-making that we humans have evolved to do.  This is really basic stuff.&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; On the other, we have all the well-established evidence that homo sapiens has evolved to be (for good adaptive reasons) a pattern-seeking creature; that this pattern-seeking leads us to believe that utterly unrelated things are causally connected (i.e. magical thinking); that our memory is highly selective and seeks confirmation of what we, as intelligent social animals, would like to be the case, often because it&amp;apos;s socially reinforcing; that we story-telling creatures use reminiscences and anecdotes to bolster our sense of security, purpose and comfort and to dispel our fear of separation and death; and, if any exist, that we latch onto any confirmatory study to support what, a priori, we would like to believe. &amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10; An excellent article on the scientific debate behind Clinch&amp;apos;s point of view:&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126941.700-born-believers-how-your-brain-creates-god.html?page=1</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1165</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1165</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2009 14:18:48 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DHW: <em>I find very little to disagree with in George&amp;apos;s post, and in particular I agree completely with his account of the causes of most dreams. There is one paragraph of false premises, however: </em>[<strong>Quoting George:]</strong> &amp;quot;The idea that there has to be a reason for having a dream, or that all dreams predict subsequent events or match reality in some way is a bias of those who favour the reality of paranormal occurrences.&amp;quot; <em>So far as I know, nobody on this site has mentioned any such idea.</em> - GEORGE: <em>But it was DHW himself who wrote: That seems a strange reason for having a dream.</em> - We humans have evolved a wonderful capacity for misunderstandings! The section of the original exchange that led to my comment was as follows: - DHW: <em>The little boy dreamed of something he could not possibly have known beforehand.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;GEORGE:  <em>That&amp;apos;s because he didn&amp;apos;t know it beforehand.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;DHW: <em>That seems a strange reason for having a dream.</em> - It was meant to be a joke! I guess I&amp;apos;ll never make into our humour section.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1147</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1147</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 18:05:19 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DHW writes: I find very little to disagree with in George&amp;apos;s post, and in particular I agree completely with his account of the causes of most dreams. There is one paragraph of false premises, however: - &amp;quot;<em>The idea that there has to be a reason for having a dream, or that all dreams predict subsequent events or match reality in some way is a bias of those who favour the reality of paranormal occurrences.</em>&amp;quot; So far as I know, nobody on this site has mentioned any such idea.  - But it was DHW himself who wrote:&amp;#13;&amp;#10;<em>That seems a strange reason for having a dream.</em></p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1145</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1145</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 11:50:16 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The Paranormal (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Part Two</strong> - There are two phases. 1) People claim to have acquired information they could not have known beforehand. You reject this, which means you consider every claim to be based on lies, self-delusion, wishful thinking etc., and that is your belief. You are welcome to it, but you should not assume that it is anything other than a belief. I have seen, heard and read enough to think that some claims are more likely to be true than false. This too is a belief. Science plays no part in it. Science plays no part in most areas of human relations, and if you are going to rely on scientific evidence before you trust people, you may have a few problems behind or ahead of you. So let me stress that, in the context of unknowable information being imparted, I am inclined to believe some claims for no other reason than that I find them convincing. For instance, I believe the evidence of my own eyes in the case of episodes I witnessed when living in Africa; I trust my wife when she tells me of her own experiences. David and BBella are strangers, and so the experiences are not as direct, but I would certainly not close my mind to their claims and call them (as you do implicitly) liars, self-deluders, or fools. The same applies to some ... not all, of course ... other cases I have heard or read about. And so, to conclude Phase 1), I believe it is more likely than not that unknowable information has been imparted to certain people in ways I do not understand.  - 2) If the communication of unknowable information is possible, I would like to know how. Nothing to do with security, fear of death, social reinforcement. Speculation on possible explanations may well lead to what you like to call &amp;quot;pseudoscience&amp;quot; ... like &amp;quot;thought waves&amp;quot; ... but this is <em>only </em>speculation. I haven&amp;apos;t a clue. I would not regard the fact that scientists aren&amp;apos;t interested as proof of anything, but as it happens scientists <em>are</em> interested. David&amp;apos;s latest post should set you right on that score, and as I reported in my post of 16 December at 12.29 under Other Forms of Life, there is to be a systematic US &amp; UK study of NDEs involving 25 hospitals. Perhaps you will regard all of this as pseudoscience because real scientists don&amp;apos;t bother with such phenomena, knowing just as you do that such phenomena don&amp;apos;t exist. I believe one term for this approach is &amp;quot;confirmational bias&amp;quot;.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1140</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=1140</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jan 2009 13:23:49 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Where is it now?</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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