The Decreasing Violence of Man (Humans)

by xeno6696 , Sonoran Desert, Tuesday, April 24, 2012, 15:01 (4595 days ago) @ David Turell


> > If you compute... crudely... the total number of dead in the 20th century (this includes ALL wars and genocides where figures are available) it amounts to 3 % of the CURRENT population of the world. (Of ~6Bn.)
> 
> The 20th century started at about 2 Bn. That is the figure to compute with.
> 
> When I was born the US had 125 million folks. By the end of WWII maybe 140 million. Judge WWII by those figures. You are a member of the population explosion.-The math is more complex than that, because the 180M violent deaths happened across 100 years. You start with 2Bn and a birthrate, nonviolent death rate. If you compute crudely on 2Bn, the total dead comes up to only 9%. (180M/2Bn)-You need stochastic stats (see calculus) to get accurate results. (Like what we do in insurance.)

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